place · fips 05001

Arkansas County, AR

County-grain growth profile · census, housing, migration anchored per year.

demographics · housing · annual2026

Population Δ %		-1.50
Net migration		-171.0
Income migration	—	32.0
Home price YoY %		4.40
Building permits	—	15.0

exposed companies1

CMIcontract

growth score · 2026

2026

0.199

SHRINKING

coverage

60%

why this scoreactive weight 60%

population change g_census · 2024	0.04 w 0.22
net migration g_census · 2024	0.04 w 0.20
price trend h_housing · 2024	0.57 w 0.18
permits zeroed — no input for this fips/period -> zeroed h_housing · 2024	— w 0.10
crime trend zeroed — county crime is empty (h_crime is state-grain) -> zeroed h_crime · 2024	— w 0.10
income migration zeroed — no input for this fips/period -> zeroed g_irs_migration · 2024	— w 0.10
fmr zeroed — no input for this fips/period -> zeroed h_housing · 2024	— w 0.05
warn zeroed — f_warn has no usable place-level rows -> zeroed f_warn · 2024	— w 0.00
job velocity zeroed — f_jobs is a single period (2024); no velocity computable -> zeroed f_jobs · 2024	— w 0.00
business formation zeroed — d_* business-formation sources empty -> zeroed d_* · 2024	— w 0.00

Growth blends population change, net + income migration, home-price trend, permits, jobs and crime — cross-sectionally normalized per period. Coverage shows how much of the model is currently data-backed.